交易员不是分析师Trader is not an analyst

2021-09-19

我们有没有去想过交易员到底是什么，尤其是一些刚刚进入市场的交易员，他不知道进入这个市场到底应该去学什么。他会觉得交易员就是等同于市场分析师。
其实这个想法是不正确的，交易员就像是战场上的军人，他对战争的结局是有直接的影响的。他在战场上身临其境的时候。
他是不能预测战争的结局的，但是分析师是不一样的，分析师就像是战地记者或者是后来写战史的人，他会根据结果去。
去进行解读，去进行分析。尽管那些解读和分析在事后看起来是符合一些逻辑的，看起来也更精彩一点，但是对交易员来说，却知道那些东西对他的实际的意。
业绩影响是不会太大的，他们需要的是临床到底该怎么去做，要不要去做大部分成功的交易其实不需要什么技术的。
一些交易员要在市场里面经历了很多以后才会明白，才会承认这个事实持续一致的去做一件有概率优势的事情。这要比你去寻找那些。
会赚钱的交易更容易在交易市场获得稳定的盈利。有些朋友未必会认同我说的话，但是只要你在这个市场呆下去。
你总有。
Have we ever thought about what a trader is, especially some traders who have just entered the market. They don’t know what they should learn to enter the market. He would think that a trader is equivalent to a market analyst.
In fact, this idea is incorrect. The trader is like a soldier on the battlefield. He has a direct influence on the outcome of the war. When he was immersive on the battlefield.
He can't predict the outcome of the war, but the analyst is different. The analyst is like a war reporter or someone who later wrote war history, he will go according to the result.
To interpret, to analyze. Although those interpretations and analyses seem to be logical and a little more exciting after the fact, for the trader, he knows what those things actually mean for him.
The impact on performance will not be too great. What they need is how to do it clinically. Whether or not to do most successful transactions does not require any technology.
Some traders will not understand until after a lot of experience in the market, and only then will they recognize this fact and continue to do a probabilistic advantage. It's better than looking for those.
Profitable transactions are easier to obtain stable profits in the trading market. Some friends may not agree with what I said, but as long as you stay in this market.
You always have.

完整的股市周期The complete stock market cycle

2021-09-18

股市完整的周期要经过九个阶段。先来说说前三个阶段，一低迷期，此阶段的特点是行情持续屡创低价，投资者投资意愿胜敌，且对后市呈。
悲观态度，市场中的账户大部分处于亏损状态，此时做短线交易极不容易获利，因为没有好的机会，多半账户处于休眠状态，投资者买卖极度不活跃。
二、初涨阶段，此时市场人气尚未恢复，但由于前期的长期下跌，股价大多已经跌至不合理的低价，此时市场的买入成本极低。
许多高位套牢的人选择观望，不再进行卖出，市场的买卖压力大为减轻，成交量呈现无规律状态。此时，一些长线投资者因为估值非常便宜，所以。
开始进场买入。三、震荡期，由于初涨阶段，长线资金已经开始流入市场，导致部分股价上涨。但是经过长期空投，部分投资者仍然持怀疑态度。
去六代维安策略稍有回报就选择获利了结。所以市场会阶段性的有下跌动能释放，但由于长线资金流入，所以下跌幅度有限。
一般人我不告诉的秘密，股市有这样一个规律，一般周五会上涨，周一会下跌，一月是持仓的好时机，尤其是在月初。
同样一月也是为一季度布局的大好良机，而且最好是布局小公司的股票。
The complete cycle of the stock market goes through nine stages. Let me talk about the first three stages, a period of downturn. The characteristics of this stage are that the market continues to hit low prices, the willingness of investors to invest over the enemy, and the market outlook is very promising.
With a pessimistic attitude, most of the accounts in the market are at a loss. At this time, short-term trading is extremely difficult to make profits. Because there is no good opportunity, most of the accounts are in a dormant state, and investors are extremely inactive in trading.
2. At the initial rise stage, market sentiment has not yet recovered at this time, but due to the long-term decline in the previous period, most of the stock prices have fallen to unreasonably low prices. At this time, the purchase cost of the market is extremely low.
Many people who are stuck in high positions choose to wait and see and no longer sell. The pressure on the market has been greatly reduced, and the transaction volume has become irregular. At this time, some long-term investors have very cheap valuations, so.
Start to enter the market to buy. 3. During the shock period, due to the initial rise stage, long-term funds have begun to flow into the market, causing some stock prices to rise. But after a long-term airdrop, some investors are still skeptical.
Going to the sixth generation of the Wei'an strategy has a slight return and chooses to make a profit. Therefore, the market will periodically release the downward momentum, but due to the inflow of long-term funds, the decline is limited.
A secret I don't tell most people. The stock market has such a pattern. Generally, it will rise on Friday and fall on Monday. January is a good time to hold positions, especially at the beginning of the month.
The same month is also a great opportunity for the layout of the first quarter, and it is best to layout the stocks of small companies.

人工与机器人炒股对比落差The gap between human and robot stocks

2021-09-17

量化交易就是人工智能的镰刀量化基金，现在都不让你投了，不是像他们所说，因为策略饱和了是内卷太严重了，都去整量化交易。韭菜不就少了，搁谁去啊？
还不如不募集，专心致志的哥量化，今年收益率这么高，赚的谁的钱，你觉得会是机构的，全是散户的钱，以前散户和庄家都起码还是人。现在是机器人用大数据跟你斗量化私募现在有一点一万亿，每天成交量三千亿，占a 股百分之。
这二十成交量说明就是四十，你每交易两只股票就有一个机器人卖给你的。有个上海的私募，两个月前跟我聊才十个亿规模，现在二十五亿了，钱全是信托次管四行给你找的。你想涨量化交一百倍换手率。
比散户多赚十倍的钱，券商多开心，四行信托也乐意卖这个稳赚不赔的产品，客户也喜欢皆大欢喜。量化基金会有源源不断的大资金，散户可就惨了。量化的本身就是赚交易套利的钱。
散户越多，量化就越赚钱，用机器公式的算法不停的收割。美国五十二七年散户占九十五五年量化进展后，现在只剩百分之五了。美股运行三十年了，开始去散户化。
a 五到现在也刚好三十年，量化也刚好进场了。巧不巧，意不意外，散户既然打不过就加入呗。要不和机器人一伙，要不要和大机构战队自己就别玩了。大机构为啥不怕电话？
公募基金都是抱团大票票，大量少量化基金不空仓只有一千多支票，对大票没有资金优势。对小票和散户那不随便折腾，未来就两个赛道。公募基金和量化私募基金。
通不通过研究公司发展来确定未来量化是通过各种策略回测来确定交易。一个是财务报表，一个是数学和物理模式。这两个赛道共同点都是看重趋势投资。
简单说就是不要抄底，只做右侧趋势交易，然后不断的宣传板块去轮动转发这条视频，让更多的散户看到不要再被割韭菜了。
Quantitative trading is the sickle quantitative fund of artificial intelligence. Now you are not allowed to invest. It is not like they said, because the strategy is saturated and the internal volume is too serious. All quantitative trading is used. The leeks are not enough, who will leave it?
It's better not to raise money and quantify with a dedicated brother. With such a high rate of return this year, whoever makes money, you think it will belong to institutions, all of which are retail money. In the past, retail investors and market makers were at least people. Now it is robots who use big data to fight you to quantify private equity. There are now 1.1 trillion, and the daily trading volume is 300 billion, accounting for% of a-shares.
This twenty trading volume means forty, and for every two stocks you trade, one robot will sell it to you. There is a private equity in Shanghai. Two months ago, I talked to me about the scale of 1 billion. Now it is 2.5 billion. The money is all found for you by the fourth bank of the trust. You want to increase the turnover rate by one hundred times.
Earn ten times more money than retail investors. The brokerage is so happy. The Four Banks Trust is also willing to sell this product that makes no loss. Customers also like it. The quantitative foundation has a steady stream of large funds, and retail investors can be miserable. Quantification itself is the money to make trading arbitrage.
The more retail investors, the more profitable the quantification, and the machine formula algorithm is used to continuously harvest. After 527 years of retail accounts in the United States, after quantifying progress in 1995, now only 5% remains. The U.S. stock market has been in operation for 30 years and has begun to de-retail.
a It has been exactly 30 years from five to now, and quantification has just entered the market. Coincidentally, not unexpectedly, since retail investors can't get through, join in. If you don’t play with the robots, if you don’t play with the big organization team, don’t play. Why are big institutions not afraid of the phone?
Public offering funds are all held together with large votes, and a large number of small-scale funds do not have short positions and only have more than 1,000 checks. There is no capital advantage for large votes. For small tickets and retail investors, don't toss casually, there will be two tracks in the future. Public funds and quantitative private funds.
To determine the future quantification by not studying the development of the company is to determine the transaction through backtesting of various strategies. One is financial statements, and the other is mathematical and physical models. What these two tracks have in common is that they value trend investment.
To put it simply, don't buy bottoms, only trade on the right trend, and then continue to repost this video in the publicity section, so that more retail investors can see that they should not be cut leek anymore.