你听说过不是你的遛狗理论吗？这个理论是欧洲证券教父安德烈科斯托拉尼提出的那投资大师巴菲特，国内著名的投资大佬张磊、邱国鹭等都在各种场合提起过遛狗理论，并且非常的推崇。
如果你能理解这个理论，那你一定能知道大白马公司为什么在一定时候它一定会下跌。你也能够理解为什么这些跌下去的优质公司，它一定会涨回来。并且你会明白为什么茅台有可能。
再也回不去一千块了，而且听懂了这个理论，你可以轻松的理解以上说的这一切都是必然的。点赞收藏精彩的故事开始了。
六哥理论的故事是这样的，有一个男子，他带着狗在街上散步，那这狗先跑到前面，回头看了看主人，然后又跑远了一点，然后跑回主人身边，接着又跑到了后面。
看自己跑得远了，又跑回来。整个过程呢狗就这样反反复复，到最后苟跟男子都同时到达了终点。男子呢悠悠闲闲走了一公里，而狗走了。
四公里。
在遛狗理论这个领域里面，男子代表的是经济，是基本面，是公司的价值，而狗代表的就是中心市场，也就是我们常说的股价。
这个领域呢非常形象的形容了价格，围绕价值上下波动的基本关系。那有很出名的人就根据遛狗理论画了一张图是这样的，这个聪明人他假设公司的价值是不变的，那么价格就是围绕价值上。
下波动画图的人觉得那每次跌回前面的低点，我去买不就行了吗？但是他错了，这里面的底层并不在于公司的价值是不变的吗？
不会只有不增长的公司才能保持价值，是平行位置而不增长的公司市场是不会认可的，它的股价往往会直线下跌。根本不符合遛狗理论。
这样的公司你去买了一定会受伤。那么真正的优质公司的六国理论图是怎样的呢？它可以是这样的，优质公司内在价值逐渐攀升，公司价格曲折中屡创新高。
它也可以是这样的，优质的周期行业公司价值周期性的波动，公司的价格围绕价值波动共振加持之下，可以暴利上涨，也可以暴跌上涨。我们日常操作中最接近真实价值投资的。
图是这样的，价值波动向上，价格以更大的波动趋势向上。这张图也就是遛狗理论的精髓，也是成为价值投资高手需要储备的几大基本认知之一。
Have you heard that it’s not your dog walking theory? This theory is the investment master Buffett proposed by the godfather of European securities Andre Kostolani, and the famous domestic investment tycoons Zhang Lei and Qiu Guolu have all mentioned the theory of dog walking on various occasions and highly praised them.
If you can understand this theory, then you must know why the Big White Horse Company must fall at a certain time. You can also understand why these high-quality companies that have fallen will surely rise back. And you will understand why Moutai is possible.
You can't go back one thousand yuan anymore, and if you understand this theory, you can easily understand that all of the above are inevitable. The wonderful story of liking and collecting has begun.
The story of the sixth brother’s theory goes like this. There was a man who took a dog for a walk in the street. The dog ran to the front, looked back at the owner, then ran a little further, and then ran back to the owner. Ran to the back again.
Seeing that I ran far, and ran back again. In the whole process, the dog repeated this way, and in the end, both the man and the man reached the end at the same time. The man walked leisurely for a kilometer while the dog was gone.
Four kilometers.
In the field of dog walking theory, men represent the economy, the fundamentals, and the value of the company, while dogs represent the central market, which is what we often call stock prices.
This field vividly describes the basic relationship between price and fluctuations around value. A well-known person drew a picture based on the dog walking theory. This smart person assumed that the value of the company is constant, so the price is centered on the value.
The people of the next wave of animation think that every time it falls back to the previous low, can I just buy it? But he was wrong. Isn't the bottom layer here that the value of the company is constant?
It is not that only companies that do not grow can maintain value. Companies that are in a parallel position and do not grow will not be recognized by the market, and their stock prices tend to plummet. It doesn't conform to the dog walking theory at all.
You will definitely get hurt if you buy such a company. So what is the six-nation theoretical picture of a truly high-quality company? It can be like this: the intrinsic value of high-quality companies is gradually rising, and the company's prices are constantly hitting new highs amidst twists and turns.
It can also be like this. The value of high-quality cyclical companies fluctuates cyclically. Under the resonant blessing of the company's price around the value fluctuations, it can increase profitably, or it can plummet. Our daily operation is the closest to true value investment.
The picture is like this, the value fluctuates upward, and the price fluctuates upward. This picture is the essence of the dog walking theory, and it is also one of the basic cognitions that need to be reserved to become a value investment expert.