炒股机器人有多厉害How powerful is the stock trading robot
你知道为什么说散户在这个市场里越来越不可能挣到钱吗？因为咱们这个市场里有一个东西在越来越成熟，它叫做量化投资，也就是机器在完成这个交易，就是把择时选股的策略写成算法，用数学模型。
人的主观判断，然后用机器操作呢代替人来交易，它能从海量的历史数据当中挑选出那些能带来超额收益的大概率事件来制定投资策略。当然他也会计算价值模型。
也能发现套利机会。所以你会发现一个量化私募基金的，它就特别像一个顶级的技术流派的选手，对吧？他看盘面无敌嘛，同时呢他有几个特点。
第一个特点呢就是纪律性强，对吧？他绝对不受情绪的干扰。你的策略和方法是怎么建模的，他就怎么执行。第二个就是它系统性，它不光可以包含多个品种，它可以包含多种策略。
最重要的是它能够处理海量的历史数据模型。当然了，第三实际上就是快，你永远不可能跟机器拼手速吧。好，你是一个高手，你做出了一个判断，在你手指还没碰到键盘的时候。
他的交易都已经做完了，所以因此套利绝对套不过他。但凡有一个瞬间出现一点点套利机会，全都被他抹平了。再有就是你一定赌不过他。因为机器永远是概率论完美的执行者嘛。
所以我们说量化交易挣谁的钱，或者说你说这个市面上谁的钱最好挣，就是那些依靠技术流派做短线交易的散户，如果让你常态化的去跟精密计算的机器去做对手盘。
觉得长期来看，谁会赢，就以相同的策略来讲，你的钱都会慢慢的被他赚走。因为什么呢？因为他不出错，更何况他的策略和他的经验有可能是比你高的。
所以我们从来不提倡个人投资者沉迷于技术流派的这些知识，也不建议散户去持有个股。就是因为事实上这些技术流派层面的钱都是被量化交易赚走的。
因为这部分钱是这个市面上好挣的钱。那这个市场上基本面流派的钱是相对难赚的。所以你会看到有这样一种趋势，就是在二零一七年到去年的这段时间，咱们国内的头部顶级的量化私募基金，它是能。
赚取大量的超额收益的，而且风险非常低。换方量化三年的时间收益是百分之百嘛，三年的时间翻了一倍，但是最大回撤不超过百分之四。什么概念？用债券基金的稳定性。
出了股票基金的收益，就是因为这个市面上技术流派的钱太多，散户还太多。但是当这个市场上机构越来越多，散户越来越少的时候，你会发现量化交易它的。
收益趋向于平稳，他没有办法再获得像以前那么高的超额收益了。最终它会趋向于什么呢？它会趋向于这个市场的无风险收益率。就是如果这个市场上所有的钱都是极端理性的话，量化投资的净值曲线。
会越来越平稳越来越平稳。另外还有一个必然的趋势就是量化私募基金的巨头效应。你看咱们国家量化投资发展才几年呀，就已经出现了市场上排名前二十的量化私募基金。
它占有了整个量化交易市场的百分之六十的规模，这很好理解，资源向头部集中。这个趋势在机器交易上面体现的更明显。上帝扔骰子嘛，对吧？这个世界本来就是不公平的。
二零一七年，也就是四年之前这个市场上的量化私募还只占整个证券私募的百分之五左右。但是截止到去年底，这个数量已经扩大到百分之十五了。
电话私募基金的规模已经超过了五千亿，这五千亿都是高频交易啊。你可以形象的理解它就是散户在进行交易的时候，你有大概百分之二十的操作，对手盘都是机器人，就是你每买卖五只股票，其中就有。
一只股票是由机器给你完成买卖的，所以你看我为什么说不要沉迷于每天盯盘，每天复盘这个市场上的超额回报，也就是阿尔法回报一定是由少数人给你带来的。
绝大多数的人都没有办法把自己训练成天才，所以呢尽早承认自己不是天才。我们能表达的最负责任的态度就是不要白白给量化私募基金送钱了。
除非你自认为说我就是天选之子。
Do you know why it is increasingly impossible for retail investors to make money in this market? Because there is something in our market that is becoming more and more mature, it is called quantitative investment, that is, the machine is completing this transaction, that is, the strategy of selecting stocks at the time is written as an algorithm and a mathematical model is used.
Human subjective judgment, and then use machine operation instead of human to trade, it can select those high probability events that can bring excess returns from massive historical data to formulate investment strategies. Of course he will also calculate the value model.
Arbitrage opportunities can also be found. So you will find a quantitative private equity fund, it is especially like a top technical genre player, right? He looks invincible on the board. At the same time, he has several characteristics.
The first feature is strong discipline, right? He is absolutely not disturbed by emotions. How your strategy and method are modeled, he will execute it. The second is that it is systematic, it can not only contain multiple varieties, it can contain multiple strategies.
The most important thing is that it can handle massive historical data models. Of course, the third is actually fast. You will never be able to compete with the machine at hand speed. Well, you are a master, you have made a judgment before your finger touches the keyboard.
His trades are all done, so arbitrage is definitely not enough for him. Whenever there was an opportunity for a little arbitrage in an instant, it was all flattened by him. Besides, you must bet against him. Because the machine is always the perfect performer of probability theory.
So we say who earns money from quantitative trading, or you say who earns the best money on the market, is those retail investors who rely on technical schools to do short-term transactions, if you let you normalize and compete with precision computing machines plate.
In the long run, whoever will win will use the same strategy, and your money will be slowly earned by him. Because of what? Because he does not make mistakes, not to mention his strategy and his experience may be higher than yours.
Therefore, we never encourage individual investors to indulge in the knowledge of technical schools, nor do we recommend retail investors to hold individual stocks. It is because of the fact that the money at the level of these technical genres is earned by quantitative trading.
Because this part of the money is good money in the market. It is relatively difficult to make money from fundamental schools in this market. So you will see such a trend, that is, during the period from 2017 to last year, our top domestic quantitative private equity fund, it can.
Earn a lot of excess returns, and the risk is very low. The quantification of the three-year time of the exchange is 100%, and the three-year time has doubled, but the maximum drawdown does not exceed 4%. What concept? Use the stability of bond funds.
The return of stock funds is due to the fact that there is too much money in the technology genre on the market and there are too many retail investors. But when there are more and more institutions in this market and fewer and fewer retail investors, you will find quantitative trading.
The income tends to be stable, and he has no way to obtain such a high excess income as before. What will it tend towards in the end? It will tend towards the risk-free rate of return in this market. That is, if all the money in this market is extremely rational, quantify the net investment curve.
It will become more and more stable. Another inevitable trend is to quantify the giant effect of private equity funds. Look at our country's quantitative investment development in just a few years, and there have been top 20 quantitative private equity funds in the market.
It occupies 60% of the scale of the entire quantitative trading market, which is well understood, resources are concentrated to the head. This trend is more obvious in machine trading. God throw the dice, right? The world is inherently unfair.
In 2017, four years ago, quantitative private placements in this market accounted for only about 5% of the entire securities private placements. But as of the end of last year, this number has expanded to 15%.
The scale of telephone private equity funds has exceeded 500 billion, and these 500 billion are all high-frequency transactions. You can visually understand that when retail investors are trading, you have about 20% of the operations, and the counterparties are robots, that is, for every five stocks you buy and sell, one of them.
A stock is bought and sold by a machine, so you can see why I said don’t indulge in the daily indexing. The excess returns in the market, that is, the alpha return, must be brought to you by a few people.
Most people have no way to train themselves to be geniuses, so admit that they are not geniuses as soon as possible. The most responsible attitude we can express is not to give away money to quantitative private equity funds.
Unless you think that I am the chosen one.
人的主观判断，然后用机器操作呢代替人来交易，它能从海量的历史数据当中挑选出那些能带来超额收益的大概率事件来制定投资策略。当然他也会计算价值模型。
也能发现套利机会。所以你会发现一个量化私募基金的，它就特别像一个顶级的技术流派的选手，对吧？他看盘面无敌嘛，同时呢他有几个特点。
第一个特点呢就是纪律性强，对吧？他绝对不受情绪的干扰。你的策略和方法是怎么建模的，他就怎么执行。第二个就是它系统性，它不光可以包含多个品种，它可以包含多种策略。
最重要的是它能够处理海量的历史数据模型。当然了，第三实际上就是快，你永远不可能跟机器拼手速吧。好，你是一个高手，你做出了一个判断，在你手指还没碰到键盘的时候。
他的交易都已经做完了，所以因此套利绝对套不过他。但凡有一个瞬间出现一点点套利机会，全都被他抹平了。再有就是你一定赌不过他。因为机器永远是概率论完美的执行者嘛。
所以我们说量化交易挣谁的钱，或者说你说这个市面上谁的钱最好挣，就是那些依靠技术流派做短线交易的散户，如果让你常态化的去跟精密计算的机器去做对手盘。
觉得长期来看，谁会赢，就以相同的策略来讲，你的钱都会慢慢的被他赚走。因为什么呢？因为他不出错，更何况他的策略和他的经验有可能是比你高的。
所以我们从来不提倡个人投资者沉迷于技术流派的这些知识，也不建议散户去持有个股。就是因为事实上这些技术流派层面的钱都是被量化交易赚走的。
因为这部分钱是这个市面上好挣的钱。那这个市场上基本面流派的钱是相对难赚的。所以你会看到有这样一种趋势，就是在二零一七年到去年的这段时间，咱们国内的头部顶级的量化私募基金，它是能。
赚取大量的超额收益的，而且风险非常低。换方量化三年的时间收益是百分之百嘛，三年的时间翻了一倍，但是最大回撤不超过百分之四。什么概念？用债券基金的稳定性。
出了股票基金的收益，就是因为这个市面上技术流派的钱太多，散户还太多。但是当这个市场上机构越来越多，散户越来越少的时候，你会发现量化交易它的。
收益趋向于平稳，他没有办法再获得像以前那么高的超额收益了。最终它会趋向于什么呢？它会趋向于这个市场的无风险收益率。就是如果这个市场上所有的钱都是极端理性的话，量化投资的净值曲线。
会越来越平稳越来越平稳。另外还有一个必然的趋势就是量化私募基金的巨头效应。你看咱们国家量化投资发展才几年呀，就已经出现了市场上排名前二十的量化私募基金。
它占有了整个量化交易市场的百分之六十的规模，这很好理解，资源向头部集中。这个趋势在机器交易上面体现的更明显。上帝扔骰子嘛，对吧？这个世界本来就是不公平的。
二零一七年，也就是四年之前这个市场上的量化私募还只占整个证券私募的百分之五左右。但是截止到去年底，这个数量已经扩大到百分之十五了。
电话私募基金的规模已经超过了五千亿，这五千亿都是高频交易啊。你可以形象的理解它就是散户在进行交易的时候，你有大概百分之二十的操作，对手盘都是机器人，就是你每买卖五只股票，其中就有。
一只股票是由机器给你完成买卖的，所以你看我为什么说不要沉迷于每天盯盘，每天复盘这个市场上的超额回报，也就是阿尔法回报一定是由少数人给你带来的。
绝大多数的人都没有办法把自己训练成天才，所以呢尽早承认自己不是天才。我们能表达的最负责任的态度就是不要白白给量化私募基金送钱了。
除非你自认为说我就是天选之子。
Do you know why it is increasingly impossible for retail investors to make money in this market? Because there is something in our market that is becoming more and more mature, it is called quantitative investment, that is, the machine is completing this transaction, that is, the strategy of selecting stocks at the time is written as an algorithm and a mathematical model is used.
Human subjective judgment, and then use machine operation instead of human to trade, it can select those high probability events that can bring excess returns from massive historical data to formulate investment strategies. Of course he will also calculate the value model.
Arbitrage opportunities can also be found. So you will find a quantitative private equity fund, it is especially like a top technical genre player, right? He looks invincible on the board. At the same time, he has several characteristics.
The first feature is strong discipline, right? He is absolutely not disturbed by emotions. How your strategy and method are modeled, he will execute it. The second is that it is systematic, it can not only contain multiple varieties, it can contain multiple strategies.
The most important thing is that it can handle massive historical data models. Of course, the third is actually fast. You will never be able to compete with the machine at hand speed. Well, you are a master, you have made a judgment before your finger touches the keyboard.
His trades are all done, so arbitrage is definitely not enough for him. Whenever there was an opportunity for a little arbitrage in an instant, it was all flattened by him. Besides, you must bet against him. Because the machine is always the perfect performer of probability theory.
So we say who earns money from quantitative trading, or you say who earns the best money on the market, is those retail investors who rely on technical schools to do short-term transactions, if you let you normalize and compete with precision computing machines plate.
In the long run, whoever will win will use the same strategy, and your money will be slowly earned by him. Because of what? Because he does not make mistakes, not to mention his strategy and his experience may be higher than yours.
Therefore, we never encourage individual investors to indulge in the knowledge of technical schools, nor do we recommend retail investors to hold individual stocks. It is because of the fact that the money at the level of these technical genres is earned by quantitative trading.
Because this part of the money is good money in the market. It is relatively difficult to make money from fundamental schools in this market. So you will see such a trend, that is, during the period from 2017 to last year, our top domestic quantitative private equity fund, it can.
Earn a lot of excess returns, and the risk is very low. The quantification of the three-year time of the exchange is 100%, and the three-year time has doubled, but the maximum drawdown does not exceed 4%. What concept? Use the stability of bond funds.
The return of stock funds is due to the fact that there is too much money in the technology genre on the market and there are too many retail investors. But when there are more and more institutions in this market and fewer and fewer retail investors, you will find quantitative trading.
The income tends to be stable, and he has no way to obtain such a high excess income as before. What will it tend towards in the end? It will tend towards the risk-free rate of return in this market. That is, if all the money in this market is extremely rational, quantify the net investment curve.
It will become more and more stable. Another inevitable trend is to quantify the giant effect of private equity funds. Look at our country's quantitative investment development in just a few years, and there have been top 20 quantitative private equity funds in the market.
It occupies 60% of the scale of the entire quantitative trading market, which is well understood, resources are concentrated to the head. This trend is more obvious in machine trading. God throw the dice, right? The world is inherently unfair.
In 2017, four years ago, quantitative private placements in this market accounted for only about 5% of the entire securities private placements. But as of the end of last year, this number has expanded to 15%.
The scale of telephone private equity funds has exceeded 500 billion, and these 500 billion are all high-frequency transactions. You can visually understand that when retail investors are trading, you have about 20% of the operations, and the counterparties are robots, that is, for every five stocks you buy and sell, one of them.
A stock is bought and sold by a machine, so you can see why I said don’t indulge in the daily indexing. The excess returns in the market, that is, the alpha return, must be brought to you by a few people.
Most people have no way to train themselves to be geniuses, so admit that they are not geniuses as soon as possible. The most responsible attitude we can express is not to give away money to quantitative private equity funds.
Unless you think that I am the chosen one.
So we say who earns money from quantitative trading, or you say who earns the best money on the market, is those retail investors who rely on technical schools to do short-term transactions, if you let you normalize and compete with precision computing machines plate.
In the long run, whoever will win will use the same strategy, and your money will be slowly earned by him. Because of what? Because he does not make mistakes, not to mention his strategy and his experience may be higher than yours.
Therefore, we never encourage individual investors to indulge in the knowledge of technical schools, nor do we recommend retail investors to hold individual stocks. It is because of the fact that the money at the level of these technical genres is earned by quantitative trading.
Because this part of the money is good money in the market. It is relatively difficult to make money from fundamental schools in this market. So you will see such a trend, that is, during the period from 2017 to last year, our top domestic quantitative private equity fund, it can.
