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  • 炒股机器人有多厉害How powerful is the stock trading robot

    炒股机器人有多厉害How powerful is the stock trading robot

    2021-02-15

    你知道为什么说散户在这个市场里越来越不可能挣到钱吗?因为咱们这个市场里有一个东西在越来越成熟,它叫做量化投资,也就是机器在完成这个交易,就是把择时选股的策略写成算法,用数学模型。
    人的主观判断,然后用机器操作呢代替人来交易,它能从海量的历史数据当中挑选出那些能带来超额收益的大概率事件来制定投资策略。当然他也会计算价值模型。
    也能发现套利机会。所以你会发现一个量化私募基金的,它就特别像一个顶级的技术流派的选手,对吧?他看盘面无敌嘛,同时呢他有几个特点。
    第一个特点呢就是纪律性强,对吧?他绝对不受情绪的干扰。你的策略和方法是怎么建模的,他就怎么执行。第二个就是它系统性,它不光可以包含多个品种,它可以包含多种策略。
    最重要的是它能够处理海量的历史数据模型。当然了,第三实际上就是快,你永远不可能跟机器拼手速吧。好,你是一个高手,你做出了一个判断,在你手指还没碰到键盘的时候。
    他的交易都已经做完了,所以因此套利绝对套不过他。但凡有一个瞬间出现一点点套利机会,全都被他抹平了。再有就是你一定赌不过他。因为机器永远是概率论完美的执行者嘛。
    所以我们说量化交易挣谁的钱,或者说你说这个市面上谁的钱最好挣,就是那些依靠技术流派做短线交易的散户,如果让你常态化的去跟精密计算的机器去做对手盘。
    觉得长期来看,谁会赢,就以相同的策略来讲,你的钱都会慢慢的被他赚走。因为什么呢?因为他不出错,更何况他的策略和他的经验有可能是比你高的。
    所以我们从来不提倡个人投资者沉迷于技术流派的这些知识,也不建议散户去持有个股。就是因为事实上这些技术流派层面的钱都是被量化交易赚走的。
    因为这部分钱是这个市面上好挣的钱。那这个市场上基本面流派的钱是相对难赚的。所以你会看到有这样一种趋势,就是在二零一七年到去年的这段时间,咱们国内的头部顶级的量化私募基金,它是能。
    赚取大量的超额收益的,而且风险非常低。换方量化三年的时间收益是百分之百嘛,三年的时间翻了一倍,但是最大回撤不超过百分之四。什么概念?用债券基金的稳定性。
    出了股票基金的收益,就是因为这个市面上技术流派的钱太多,散户还太多。但是当这个市场上机构越来越多,散户越来越少的时候,你会发现量化交易它的。
    收益趋向于平稳,他没有办法再获得像以前那么高的超额收益了。最终它会趋向于什么呢?它会趋向于这个市场的无风险收益率。就是如果这个市场上所有的钱都是极端理性的话,量化投资的净值曲线。
    会越来越平稳越来越平稳。另外还有一个必然的趋势就是量化私募基金的巨头效应。你看咱们国家量化投资发展才几年呀,就已经出现了市场上排名前二十的量化私募基金。
    它占有了整个量化交易市场的百分之六十的规模,这很好理解,资源向头部集中。这个趋势在机器交易上面体现的更明显。上帝扔骰子嘛,对吧?这个世界本来就是不公平的。
    二零一七年,也就是四年之前这个市场上的量化私募还只占整个证券私募的百分之五左右。但是截止到去年底,这个数量已经扩大到百分之十五了。
    电话私募基金的规模已经超过了五千亿,这五千亿都是高频交易啊。你可以形象的理解它就是散户在进行交易的时候,你有大概百分之二十的操作,对手盘都是机器人,就是你每买卖五只股票,其中就有。
    一只股票是由机器给你完成买卖的,所以你看我为什么说不要沉迷于每天盯盘,每天复盘这个市场上的超额回报,也就是阿尔法回报一定是由少数人给你带来的。
    绝大多数的人都没有办法把自己训练成天才,所以呢尽早承认自己不是天才。我们能表达的最负责任的态度就是不要白白给量化私募基金送钱了。
    除非你自认为说我就是天选之子。
    Do you know why it is increasingly impossible for retail investors to make money in this market? Because there is something in our market that is becoming more and more mature, it is called quantitative investment, that is, the machine is completing this transaction, that is, the strategy of selecting stocks at the time is written as an algorithm and a mathematical model is used.
    Human subjective judgment, and then use machine operation instead of human to trade, it can select those high probability events that can bring excess returns from massive historical data to formulate investment strategies. Of course he will also calculate the value model.
    Arbitrage opportunities can also be found. So you will find a quantitative private equity fund, it is especially like a top technical genre player, right? He looks invincible on the board. At the same time, he has several characteristics.
    The first feature is strong discipline, right? He is absolutely not disturbed by emotions. How your strategy and method are modeled, he will execute it. The second is that it is systematic, it can not only contain multiple varieties, it can contain multiple strategies.
    The most important thing is that it can handle massive historical data models. Of course, the third is actually fast. You will never be able to compete with the machine at hand speed. Well, you are a master, you have made a judgment before your finger touches the keyboard.
    His trades are all done, so arbitrage is definitely not enough for him. Whenever there was an opportunity for a little arbitrage in an instant, it was all flattened by him. Besides, you must bet against him. Because the machine is always the perfect performer of probability theory.
    So we say who earns money from quantitative trading, or you say who earns the best money on the market, is those retail investors who rely on technical schools to do short-term transactions, if you let you normalize and compete with precision computing machines plate.
    In the long run, whoever will win will use the same strategy, and your money will be slowly earned by him. Because of what? Because he does not make mistakes, not to mention his strategy and his experience may be higher than yours.
    Therefore, we never encourage individual investors to indulge in the knowledge of technical schools, nor do we recommend retail investors to hold individual stocks. It is because of the fact that the money at the level of these technical genres is earned by quantitative trading.
    Because this part of the money is good money in the market. It is relatively difficult to make money from fundamental schools in this market. So you will see such a trend, that is, during the period from 2017 to last year, our top domestic quantitative private equity fund, it can.
    Earn a lot of excess returns, and the risk is very low. The quantification of the three-year time of the exchange is 100%, and the three-year time has doubled, but the maximum drawdown does not exceed 4%. What concept? Use the stability of bond funds.
    The return of stock funds is due to the fact that there is too much money in the technology genre on the market and there are too many retail investors. But when there are more and more institutions in this market and fewer and fewer retail investors, you will find quantitative trading.
    The income tends to be stable, and he has no way to obtain such a high excess income as before. What will it tend towards in the end? It will tend towards the risk-free rate of return in this market. That is, if all the money in this market is extremely rational, quantify the net investment curve.
    It will become more and more stable. Another inevitable trend is to quantify the giant effect of private equity funds. Look at our country's quantitative investment development in just a few years, and there have been top 20 quantitative private equity funds in the market.
    It occupies 60% of the scale of the entire quantitative trading market, which is well understood, resources are concentrated to the head. This trend is more obvious in machine trading. God throw the dice, right? The world is inherently unfair.
    In 2017, four years ago, quantitative private placements in this market accounted for only about 5% of the entire securities private placements. But as of the end of last year, this number has expanded to 15%.
    The scale of telephone private equity funds has exceeded 500 billion, and these 500 billion are all high-frequency transactions. You can visually understand that when retail investors are trading, you have about 20% of the operations, and the counterparties are robots, that is, for every five stocks you buy and sell, one of them.
    A stock is bought and sold by a machine, so you can see why I said don’t indulge in the daily indexing. The excess returns in the market, that is, the alpha return, must be brought to you by a few people.
    Most people have no way to train themselves to be geniuses, so admit that they are not geniuses as soon as possible. The most responsible attitude we can express is not to give away money to quantitative private equity funds.
    Unless you think that I am the chosen one.

  • 股典钟炒股机器人系统电脑版行业投资资讯:太阳能发电技术Stock Code Clock Stock Trading Robot System Computer Edition Industry Investment Information: Solar Power Technology

    股典钟炒股机器人系统电脑版行业投资资讯:太阳能发电技术Stock Code Clock Stock Trading Robot System Computer Edition Industry Investment Information: Solar Power Technology

    2021-02-11

    光伏行情继续,前面分享的光伏支架、逆变器等延续强势,并且还有利好。近期,能源局提出,二零二一年我国风电、太阳能发电和。
    合计新增一点二亿千瓦的目标,这是指向哪里?就是太阳能发电。从产业链来看,光伏的行情已经从组件过渡到了太阳能电站。
    组建的龙头隆基股份两年涨了八倍。那么接下来谁会是光伏发电的龙头,马上揭晓。
    要说光伏背后大的战略,其实还是能源结构的变革。这在前不久的气候雄心峰会上面已经明确到二零三零年新能源在能源结构中的占比。
    要达到百分之二十五,我们目前的新能源占比是百分之十四,渗透率还有接近一倍的提升空间。而从电力行业来看,目前。
    太阳能发电占比只有百分之一点五六,要完成新能源替代化石能源的目标,未来就要想办法提高太阳能电力的占比。
    毫无疑问,这方面的增长空间非常大。
    在发电成本方面,年初光伏的度电成本已经与煤电成本接近,而最近动力煤价格大幅上涨,这就导致煤电成本明显增加。
    与光伏相比,已经完全失去了竞争力。
    同时,动力煤涨价也让我们意识到未来煤电企业面临的困境。再看光伏未来的度电成本仍然还有下降空间。所。
    所以未来的电力行业机会就在太阳能发电,谁能抓住这次行业的变革,那么谁就有可能成为未来电力行业的龙头。
    其中一家公司就是以光伏电站运营为主。目前公司光伏电站规模约五g 邷国内第一,并且公司利用自身优势。
    已经锁定了十二g 瓦的优质光资源项目,这为公司的持续增长提供了保障。相信在未来这场能源变革中,公司的行业地位将。
    The photovoltaic market continues, and the previously shared photovoltaic brackets and inverters continue to be strong and beneficial. Recently, the Energy Administration proposed that my country’s wind power and solar power generation will be combined in 2021.
    The goal of adding 120 million kilowatts in total, where does this point? It is solar power. From the perspective of the industrial chain, the market for photovoltaics has transitioned from modules to solar power plants.
    The shares of Longji, the established leader, have risen eightfold in two years. So who will be the leader of photovoltaic power generation next will be announced immediately.
    To say that the big strategy behind photovoltaics is actually the transformation of the energy structure. This has been clarified in the recent climate ambition summit to 2030 the proportion of new energy in the energy structure.
    To reach 25%, our current share of new energy is 14%, and there is still room for nearly double the penetration rate. From the perspective of the power industry, at present.
    Solar power generation accounts for only 1.56%. To achieve the goal of replacing fossil energy with new energy, we must find ways to increase the proportion of solar power in the future.
    There is no doubt that there is huge room for growth in this area.
    In terms of power generation costs, the cost of photovoltaic power at the beginning of the year has been close to that of coal power, but the price of thermal coal has risen sharply recently, which has led to a significant increase in the cost of coal power.
    Compared with photovoltaics, it has completely lost its competitiveness.
    At the same time, the price increase of thermal coal also makes us aware of the difficulties faced by coal power companies in the future. Looking at the future cost of photovoltaic power, there is still room for decline. So.
    Therefore, the future power industry opportunity lies in solar power generation. Whoever can seize the industry's transformation will be the leader of the future power industry.
    One of the companies is mainly engaged in the operation of photovoltaic power plants. At present, the scale of the company's photovoltaic power station is about 5g, which is the largest in China, and the company uses its own advantages.
    A high-quality light resource project with 12 g watts has been locked, which provides a guarantee for the company's continued growth. I believe that in the future energy revolution, the company's industry status will be.

  • 股典钟炒股机器人系统电脑版行业投资资讯动力电磁硅碳负极Stock Code Clock Stock Trading Robot System Computer Edition Industry Investment Information Power Electromagnetic Silicon Carbon Anode

    股典钟炒股机器人系统电脑版行业投资资讯动力电磁硅碳负极Stock Code Clock Stock Trading Robot System Computer Edition Industry Investment Information Power Electromagnetic Silicon Carbon Anode

    2021-02-10

    改变一下材料,就能把动力电池能量密度提高十倍,你相信吗?怎么提高动力电池的能量密度,一直都是整个新能源车产业链的核心话题。
    而这里面改变负极材料就是其中一个办法。主流的负极材料是碳系负极,俗称石墨。这种负极材料理论能量密度上限是三百七十二毫安时每克。
    而现在已经可以做到三百六十五毫安时,每刻已经接近理论极限,继续提高和改进的空间已经不大了。而现在最有希望成为下一代负极材料的。
    就是硅材料,硅负极的理论能量密度可达四千二百毫安时,每克是石墨负极材料的十倍。
    但是因为硅在充放电过程中容易产生体积膨胀,寿命太短,所以至今没有大规模商用。不过作为过渡,现在硅碳复合材料成了由石墨向归附级过渡的。
    重要载体。目前全球新能源车占比为百分之三,预计到二零二五年新能源车销售占汽车总销量的比例将超过百分之十三。
    随着新能源车渗透率不断提升,对负极材料的需求在未来仍将保持高速增长,而规范负极材料以其优越的性能在负极材料出货中的占比。
    也将持续提高电解液里走出了天字材料这样一年四倍的公司,相信未来硅碳负极材料的表现会比它更强。其中一家公司控股了。
    全球负极材料的龙头公司的硅负极材料已经做到了第三代,产品能量密度达到一千五百毫安时,每克是石墨负极的四倍。
    目前,公司的规范户籍已经量产,接下来随着渗透率不断提高,公司成长空间有望。
    Do you believe that changing the material can increase the energy density of power batteries tenfold? How to improve the energy density of power batteries has always been the core topic of the entire new energy vehicle industry chain.
    One way is to change the anode material. The mainstream anode material is carbon-based anode, commonly known as graphite. The upper limit of the theoretical energy density of this negative electrode material is 372 mAh per gram.
    But now it can achieve 365 mAh, which is close to the theoretical limit every moment, and there is not much room for further improvement and improvement. And now it is most promising to become the next generation of anode materials.
    It is silicon material. The theoretical energy density of silicon anode can reach 4,200 mAh, which is ten times that of graphite anode material per gram.
    However, because silicon is prone to volume expansion during charging and discharging, and its lifespan is too short, so far it has not been commercially available on a large scale. However, as a transition, silicon-carbon composites have now transitioned from graphite to attached grade.
    Important carrier. At present, the global proportion of new energy vehicles is 3%, and it is estimated that by 2025, the proportion of new energy vehicle sales to total vehicle sales will exceed 13%.
    With the continuous increase in the penetration rate of new energy vehicles, the demand for anode materials will continue to grow at a high speed in the future, and the proportion of anode materials in the shipment of anode materials with their superior performance will be regulated.
    It will also continue to improve the company that has gone out of the electrolyte four times a year like Tianzi Materials. I believe that the performance of silicon carbon anode materials will be stronger than it in the future. One of the companies has a controlling stake.
    The world's leading anode material company's silicon anode material has achieved the third generation, and the energy density of the product has reached 1,500 mAh, which is four times that of graphite anode per gram.
    At present, the company's standardized household registration has been mass-produced, and as the penetration rate continues to increase, the company's growth space is expected.

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