经典股市日历效应Classic stock market calendar effect

2021-07-30

炒股也要看日历，今天和大家分享股市中经典的日历效应，a 股中比较著名的日历效应有春季躁动，二月效应，春节后五穷六绝，七翻身，七上八下。
金九银十红，周一黑周四招商策略会魔咒、世界杯魔咒等等。日历效应的背后，是经济活动和人类心理活动的集中反应和轮回。
这些不成文的谚语或规律，虽然不一定百分之一百准确，但在现实股市波动中都能或多或少得到佐证。第一，春季躁动是一种特殊的日历效应。
指的是股票市场一般在一月至三月会有较大概率的阶段性上涨行情。万德统计显示，春季躁动最早可于十二月开启。
春节之后，上涨行情有望加强。近十年来，上证综指、中小板指和创业板指在春节后二十个交易日的胜率分别为百分之八十。
百分之七十和百分之八十平均涨幅分别达百分之七点一八、百分之八点六九和百分之九点一八。春季躁动背后有三大驱动因素。
一、国内既有十二月中央经济工作会议，又有三月将至的全国两会实质性政策改革利好海外，适逢年末重要节日，地缘政治关系相对缓和。
二一月底披露年报业绩预告，市场能够形成经济上行的预期，引发资金博弈。三、充裕的流动性，央行为应对节日期间的资金面需求与维稳。
会在公开市场进行较大力度的流动性投放。流动性是决定春季躁动节奏与表现的核心因素。第二，五，穷六绝，七翻身的说法最早来自香港股市。
和华尔街的著名古砚三令妹及五月清仓有着异曲同工之妙。股市在每逢五月的时候都会开始跌势，到了六月更会大跌，但到了七月。
股市会企稳反弹，五穷六绝七翻身的内在逻辑和业绩报告有关。五月、六月是业绩真空期期间，券商机构忙着调研。
调仓换股。因此通常在五月和六月，a 股市场一般表现相对较为弱势，同时六月份也是银行期中考核时点，流动性趋紧会导致股市进一步下跌。
等过了年中这个前景阶段后，七月份股市也会逐步回暖。第三，端午节在股市中就变成了跳水节，而且端午节的时间一般在五月底到六月中旬。
这个时间点和五穷六绝，七翻身刚好重合。统计显示，从二零零八年至今的十二年间，端午节前两天上涨概率只有百分之十六。
节后五天上涨概率百分之二十都不到。端午节魔咒背后的逻辑和资金的季节性波动有关，一般在六月下旬、月底、二季度末。
半年末，三者叠加，资金面趋紧，会给股市带来压力。第四，黑色周四效应法定砸盘日以近十年的上证指数为例，a 股黑色星期四并未凭空捏造。
周四跌幅无论均值中位数都呈现为负值。黑周四的原因可能是t 加一交易规则造成在t 加一规则下，短线投资者周末想钱消费。
必须周四卖出，次日周五提提取现金，这就导致市场的套现压力都集中在周四。第五红色，周一、红色周一和黑周四刚好相反。
二者的成因不同，黑色星期四是由制度造成，但红色星期一主要是从资金情绪上造成的。由于国内很多重大的宏观微观政策都在周末发布。
叠加外盘，欧美股市涨跌因素，资金出于避险考虑，都会卿仓过周末。正所谓手中无仓，心中不慌。等到周一开盘。
一切利好消息利空消息都会在早盘集中释放。如果消息偏暖，资金会主动补仓推升指数。如果消息偏空，经过周末时间的磨合。
也消化的差不多了。红周一现象在牛市中出现频率比较高，因为牛市中人们都害怕踏空，恨不得股市天天开门，再加上周末各种媒体机构。
朋友圈等营造的舆论氛围，很容导致周一开盘红第六月末季末效应，a 股月末效应是指每个月的月底几天都会下跌。
如果叠加季度末，比如六月份，不仅是二季度末，也是半年末，下跌概率会更大，主因还是流动性问题。目前针对银行主要有两大监管体系。
其中，对流动性影响最大的是流动性风险指标和m p a 的宏观审慎资本充足率。前者按月报送时点考核，后者按季报送。
时点考核，所以对流动性产生的影响主要集中在月末和季末。当然心理作用下的负反馈也会加强这种效应。不管是端午节。
还是月末寂寞。当这些魔咒在人的心里留下阴影之后，只要媒体一报道，流动性紧张，市场就会自发的抛售股票，加剧市场的波动。
这也表明，古诗不管怎么涨跌，最终还是人活动的结果。如果把人性研究透了，古诗也就不难了。
Stocks should also look at the calendar. Today, I will share with you the classic calendar effect in the stock market. The more famous calendar effects in a-shares include spring restlessness and February effect.
Gold, nine silver and ten red, Monday, black and Thursday, the investment strategy conference curse, the World Cup curse and so on. Behind the calendar effect is the concentrated response and reincarnation of economic activities and human psychological activities.
These unwritten proverbs or laws, although not necessarily 100% accurate, can be more or less corroborated in real stock market fluctuations. First, the spring restlessness is a special calendar effect.
Refers to the stock market generally has a higher probability of phased rises from January to March. Wanda statistics show that the spring disturbance can start as early as December.
After the Spring Festival, the rising market is expected to strengthen. In the past ten years, the Shanghai Composite Index, the Small and Medium-Sized Index and the ChiNext Index have won 80% of the 20 trading days after the Spring Festival.
The average increase of 70% and 80% was 7.18%, 8.69% and 9.18% respectively. There are three major drivers behind the spring turmoil.
1. In China, there is both the December Central Economic Work Conference and the substantive policy reforms of the National Two Sessions in March that are good for overseas. It coincides with an important holiday at the end of the year, and geopolitical relations are relatively relaxed.
The annual report performance forecast was released at the end of February, and the market can form expectations of economic growth, triggering a capital game. 3. Sufficient liquidity, the central bank responds to the capital demand during the holiday season and maintains stability.
Larger liquidity investments will be made in the open market. Liquidity is the core factor that determines the rhythm and performance of the spring restlessness. The second, five, poor, six, and seven stand-up talks originated from the Hong Kong stock market.
It is similar to the famous ancient inkstone three sisters on Wall Street and May Clearance. The stock market will start to fall every May, and it will fall sharply in June, but in July.
The stock market will stabilize and rebound, and the inherent logic of turning over the poor is related to the performance report. During the performance vacuum period in May and June, brokerage agencies are busy investigating.
Relocation and share swap. Therefore, usually in May and June, the a-share market generally performs relatively weakly. At the same time, June is also the time for bank mid-term assessments. Tight liquidity will cause the stock market to fall further.
After the outlook period in the middle of the year, the stock market will gradually pick up in July. Third, the Dragon Boat Festival has become a diving festival in the stock market, and the Dragon Boat Festival is generally from the end of May to mid-June.
This time point coincides with the five poor and six unique, seven turn over. Statistics show that in the twelve years from 2008 to the present, the probability of an increase in the two days before the Dragon Boat Festival is only 16%.
The probability of an increase in the five days after the holiday is less than 20%. The logic behind the Dragon Boat Festival mantra is related to the seasonal fluctuation of funds, generally in late June, the end of the month, and the end of the second quarter.
At the end of the half year, the three are superimposed and the capital is tight, which will put pressure on the stock market. Fourth, the black Thursday effect statutory hitting day. Taking the Shanghai Stock Exchange index in the past ten years as an example, the a-share Black Thursday was not fabricated out of thin air.
Regardless of the median of the mean value of the decline on Thursday, the value was negative. The reason for the black Thursday may be that the t plus one trading rule causes short-term investors to want to spend money on weekends under the t plus one rule.
You must sell on Thursday and withdraw cash on Friday the next day, which leads to the market's cashing pressure on Thursday. The fifth red, Monday, Red Monday and Black Thursday are just the opposite.
The causes of the two are different. Black Thursday is caused by the system, but Red Monday is mainly caused by financial sentiment. Because many major domestic macro and micro policies are released over the weekend.
Superimposed on the external market, the European and American stock markets are up and down factors, and funds will be held over the weekend due to risk aversion considerations. As the saying goes, there is no position in the hands, and I don't panic in my heart. Wait until the market opens on Monday.
All good news and bad news will be released in the morning. If the news is warmer, funds will take the initiative to cover up positions and push up the index. If the news is empty, after the weekend time run-in.
It's almost digested. The Red Monday phenomenon occurs more frequently in the bull market, because people in the bull market are afraid of running out of the sky and want the stock market to open every day, plus various media organizations on weekends.
The atmosphere of public opinion created by the circle of friends and others can easily lead to the end of the quarter effect at the end of the sixth month at the opening red on Monday. The month end effect of a-shares refers to the decline at the end of each month.
If the end of the quarter is superimposed, such as June, not only at the end of the second quarter but also at the end of the half year, the probability of a fall will be even greater. The main reason is liquidity issues. There are currently two major regulatory systems for banks.
Among them, the biggest impact on liquidity is the liquidity risk index and the macro-prudential capital adequacy ratio of m pa. The former is submitted for assessment on a monthly basis, and the latter is submitted on a quarterly basis.
Time assessment, so the impact on liquidity is mainly concentrated at the end of the month and the end of the quarter. Of course, the negative feedback under the psychological effect will also strengthen this effect. Whether it is the Dragon Boat Festival.
Still lonely at the end of the month. When these curses cast a shadow in people's hearts, as soon as the media reports that liquidity is tight, the market will spontaneously sell stocks and increase market volatility.
This also shows that no matter how the ancient poetry rises or falls, it is ultimately the result of human activities. If you thoroughly study human nature, ancient poetry will not be difficult.

九种典型的盘口语言 Nine typical handicap languages

2021-07-29

什么是朋友？语言，简单来说就是主力操盘留下的痕迹。那么这些主力操盘主要有哪些形式呢？这里给大家分享九种典型的操盘形式，一收盘前瞬间拉高。
在收盘前一两分钟，某个标的盘口突然出现一笔大的买单，把价格拉至高位。由于主力资金实力有限，为了节约资金而使价格收盘于较高位置。
或者说通过尾势突然袭击，瞬间拉高来突破强阻力的关键价位。那么采取尾盘偷袭的手段，由于大多数人尚未反应过来反应过来。
也是无法卖出的主力，因此达到自己的目的。二、收盘瞬间下达，在收盘前一两分钟突然出现一笔大的卖单，价格降低很多抛出。
把价格杂志很低的价位，目的第一个呢是使日k 线形成光脚的大阴线或者十字星等难看的图形，使持股者恐慌而达到战仓的目的。
第二个是为了第二天高开并大涨而跻身涨幅榜，吸引投资者的注意做准备。第三个是操盘手把票低价的卖给自己或是关联人。三。
瞬间大幅高开，开盘是涨停，或者以很大的涨幅高开瞬间又回落。目的第一个呢是突破关键的价位，主力不想因为红盘而引起其他人的跟风，所以。
做成了阴线，达到占仓的目的。第二个需求的一种方式。第三个是试盘的动作，看看上方的抛盘是否沉重。四、大幅的低开。
开盘时跌停或者很大幅度的低开，目的一呢是为了收出大阳线，使图形好看一些，以便于出货。第二个是操盘手把筹码低价的卖给自己。
他是关联人。五瞬间的大幅拉高盘中涨停，或者以很大幅度一笔拉升，瞬间又回落。目的是试盘，看看上方的抛盘是否。
重六盘中瞬间大幅的打压，盘中跌停或者以很大跌幅一笔打低瞬间又回升。目的一呢是为了试盘，看看下方接盘的支撑力。
以及市场的关注度。第二个操盘手把筹码低价卖给自己或者关联人。第三个呢是做出长的下影线，使图形好看，吸引投资者。第四个。
主力资金不足，抛出部分筹码后，用所得的资金拉升。七、盘中的钓鱼线标的。当日即使走势中开始，基本上保持某一斜率上。
之后突然直线大幅跳水，形成一根鱼竿及垂钓的鱼线图形，此是为了主力对倒高位并吸引跟风盘后突然降低价位，抛出巨大的卖单琐事。
此时若接盘不多，主力出不了多少货，主力可能仍然会拉回去，反之则一泻千里。八、盘中长时间无交易，主力权限控盘，或者说大多数筹码。
在上方在买盘处压上大买单，但长时间没有成交，此举往往为主力资金不足的表现，企图借此吸引散户买入，把价位。
八高九开盘半个小时，股价变动方向在上涨的趋势中大盘开盘半个小时以内，指数线出现一浪比一浪高的走势，说明买盘非常强劲。
当天大盘震荡走高的可能性较大，但是如果开盘半个小时的成交量过高，即半个小时的成交量已经超出了前几个交易日全天或者几天的数量。
则主力拉高出货的可能性就非常大，投资者应该谨慎的应对。在下跌趋势中，大盘开盘半个小时以内，指数线出现一浪比一浪低的走势。
说明卖盘的实力比较强，当天大盘震荡走低的可能性比较大，如果开盘半个小时内成交量比较大，则说明市场对价格的下跌走势基本认可。
后市走跌的可能性更大。
What are friends? Language, in short, is the trace left by the main trader. So what are the main forms of these main traders? Here are nine typical trading forms that will be pulled up immediately before the market closes.
One or two minutes before the market closed, a large buy order suddenly appeared on a certain target market, which pulled the price to a high level. Due to the limited financial strength of the main force, the price closed at a higher position in order to save money.
In other words, through a sudden attack from the tail, the key price of strong resistance can be broken by pulling up in an instant. Then take the late-stage sneak attack, because most people have not yet reacted to it.
It is also the main force that cannot be sold, so it achieves its own goals. 2. The closing was issued instantly, and a big sell order suddenly appeared one or two minutes before the closing, and the price dropped a lot.
The first purpose of keeping the price of the price magazine at a very low price is to make the daily k-line form an unsightly pattern such as a bare-footed big shadow or a cross star, so that stockholders can panic and achieve the purpose of war.
The second is to prepare for the next day to open higher and rise sharply to be on the top of the list of gains, attracting investors' attention. The third is that the trader sells tickets to himself or his associates at a low price. three.
Opens sharply higher in an instant, the opening is the daily limit, or opens higher with a large increase and then falls back in an instant. The first purpose is to break through the key price, the main force does not want to cause others to follow suit because of the red market, so.
Made a Yinxian, to achieve the purpose of occupying positions. A way of the second requirement. The third is to test the action to see if the sell-off at the top is heavy. Fourth, open substantially lower.
When the quotation opens, it lowers the limit or opens lower by a large margin. The first purpose is to close the big Yang line, make the graphics look better, and make it easier to ship. The second is that the trader sells his chips to himself at a low price.
He is an associated person. In five instants, the intraday daily limit was increased sharply, or it rose by a large amount, and then fell back in an instant. The purpose is to test the market and see if there is a sell-off at the top.
The heavy pressure was severely suppressed in the 6th session, and the intraday limit dropped or beat down with a large drop and rebounded in an instant. The first purpose is to test the plate and see the support of the lower plate.
And the attention of the market. The second trader sells his chips at a low price to himself or his associates. The third is to make a long lower shadow to make the graphics look good and attract investors. the fourth.
The main funds are insufficient, and after throwing out some of the chips, the funds obtained are used to pull up. 7. The fishing line mark in the plate. Even if the trend starts on that day, it basically maintains a certain slope.
Suddenly, he dived sharply in a straight line, forming a fishing rod and fishing line pattern. This is for the main force to reverse the high position and attract the trend to follow the trend, and then suddenly reduce the price, throwing a huge selling order trivial matter.
At this time, if there are not many orders and the main force cannot deliver much, the main force may still be pulled back, otherwise it will suffer a huge decline. 8. There is no transaction in the market for a long time, and the main authority controls the market, or most of the chips.
A big buy order was placed at the top of the buying position, but there was no transaction for a long time. This move is often a manifestation of insufficient funds as the main force, in an attempt to attract retail investors to buy and lower the price.
Eight high and nine opened for half an hour, and the direction of stock price changes was in an upward trend. Within half an hour of the opening of the market, the index line showed a trend of higher wave after wave, indicating that the buying order was very strong.
It is more likely that the market will fluctuate higher on the day, but if the volume of the opening half an hour is too high, that is, the volume of the half hour has exceeded the number of the entire day or several days of the previous trading days.
The possibility of the main force pulling up shipments is very high, and investors should respond cautiously. In a downtrend, within half an hour of the opening of the market, the index line showed a trend of lower wave after wave.
It shows that the strength of the selling order is relatively strong, and the market is more likely to fluctuate and decline on the day. If the trading volume is relatively large within half an hour of opening, it means that the market basically recognizes the downward trend of prices.
The market outlook is more likely to fall.

股典钟涨停王语音播报资讯：掘金集合竞价Stock code clock daily limit king voice broadcast information: Nuggets call auction

2021-07-28

股民可以通过观察分时盘口抓到当天盘中的涨停板吗？当然可以，但需要记住，分时盘口的四句经典涨停口诀。
集合竞价向上推，分时开盘量一大堆。
白线不破凰之称，主力介入，散户撤退。
一集合竞价从早盘九点十五分开始。
第一笔集合竞价高开低开平开无所谓。
但是截止九点二十五分即可竞价结束。
集合竞价十分钟时间内观察个股。
集合竞价的走势图形应当逐渐抬高向上。
表示呢集合竞价时间多头能量开始增强，这样的话开盘后盘中股价涨停的概率才会增加。
这是个股的集合竞价涨停战法。
那么第二。
九点三十分开盘后。
分时图中出现黄色成交量数应当连续密集放量，有扎堆的迹象。
分时图中出现黄色分时成交量数表示呢盘中多方强势。
而分时图中出现黄色成交的亮柱扎堆儿。
表示呢盘中大资金介入，推升股价向上推升意愿非常坚决。
这是分时图中的分时成交量涨停战法。
那么第三，通过观察分时图中，白色分时线与黄色均价线两条线之间的关系。
黄色均价线应当向右上方运行，而白色分时线的多数情况下，他应当站在黄色均价线的上方。
即使盘中s o 分时线偶尔跌破黄色均价线，也应当迅速再次站上黄色均价线，并向上攻击。
并且。
当白色分时线在黄色均价线上方向上攻击时，成交量应当出现黄色的量数密集，放量跟随。
而白色分时线在黄色均价线上方回落时，成交量应当快速萎缩。
量能书坊有序，这种图形呢是分时图中的。
分时双线涨停战法。
那么第四，通过盘口的资金流向分析观察，主力资金流入应当大于主力资金流出。
汉口显示，主力资金净流入为红色，正流入状态。
而盘口的散户小单应当显示为绿色流出状态，表示呢散户盘中抛出的筹码正在被大资金主力。
抢筹介入，那么当天涨停概率同样会提高。
这是盘口资金流向的涨停战法。
今天的分时盘口涨停战法，你学会了吗？更多理财干货，欢迎点。
Can investors catch the intraday daily limit by observing the time-sharing market? Of course you can, but you need to remember the four classic daily limit formulas of the time-sharing market.
The call auction is pushed up, and there are a lot of time-sharing openings.
The white line does not break the name of the phoenix, the main force intervenes, and the retail investors retreat.
A call auction starts at 9:15 in the morning.
It doesn't matter if the first call auction is opened high and opened low.
But the bidding can be over as of 9:25.
Observe individual stocks within ten minutes of call auction.
The trend graph of call auctions should gradually rise upward.
It means that the bulls' energy starts to increase during the call auction, so that the probability of the intraday stock price limit will increase after the market opens.
This is the call-up and cease-fire method for individual stocks.
Then second.
It leaves after 9:30.
The yellow trading volume in the time-sharing chart should be continuously intensively increased, and there are signs of bunching up.
The yellow time-sharing volume in the time-sharing chart indicates that the market is strong.
In the time-sharing chart, bright columns with yellow transactions appear piled up.
It means that large funds have intervened in the market and the willingness to push up the stock price is very firm.
This is the time-sharing volume increase and cease-fire method in the time-sharing chart.
Then thirdly, by observing the relationship between the white time-sharing line and the yellow average price line in the time-sharing chart.
The yellow average price line should run to the upper right, and in most cases of the white time-sharing line, he should stand above the yellow average price line.
Even if the intraday so time-sharing line occasionally falls below the yellow average price line, it should quickly stand on the yellow average price line again and attack upwards.
and.
When the white time-sharing line attacks in the direction of the yellow average price line, the volume should appear dense with yellow volume, and heavy volume will follow.
When the white time-sharing line falls above the yellow average price line, trading volume should shrink quickly.
Quantum Bookstore is in order, this kind of graph is in the time-sharing diagram.
Time-sharing two-line daily truce method.
Then fourth, through the analysis and observation of the flow of funds in the handicap, the main capital inflow should be greater than the main capital outflow.
Hankou showed that the net inflow of the main capital is red, and it is in the state of being inflow.
The retail small orders in the market should be displayed as a green outflow status, indicating that the chips thrown in the retail market are being used by the main force of large funds.
If you get involved, the daily limit probability will also increase.
This is the armistice method for the flow of funds in the handicap.
Today’s time-sharing handicap raises the armistice method, have you learned it? More dry goods for financial management are welcome.